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The sun is setting on the historic summer of 2025. Significant inventories of mature American whiskeys were released at prices not seen for well over a decade. Tens of thousands of barrels have been sold to small and medium brands and some investors at costs that will ensure their future profitability. There’s still a tremendous amount available, but we received word this week that the inventory released by one of the world’s largest owners of Bourbon will increase prices, effective October 1st. It will still take some time for the market to stabilize, but if you want to stock up, now is the time.

The Future is Brighter

We’re at the forefront of buying and selling.  Over the past five years, we’ve brokered more than $100 million in purchases and investments.

You don’t need another rehash of why the sky isn’t falling nearly as far as it seems. Consumption trends are an opportunity for innovation by brands big and small with the ability to respond to market shifts (I’m looking at you, NO Alc, RTD, and THC)

We recently did some research to put things in perspective with a little help from CHAT GPT.

The current Global Bourbon Market faces significant headwinds from demand softening and oversupply, export challenges, and tariffs, yet the long-term outlook remains strong. It just may take longer than anticipated.

This is the latest market outlook based on what we are seeing, hearing, and with additional research and analysis (and chart)  by CHAT GPT 5.

Market Foundations & Forecasts

  • Global Bourbon Market Expansion
    The global bourbon market is expected to grow steadily, with a projected CAGR of around 5.9% between 2023 and 2030, and estimated revenues rising from roughly $16.4B in 2021 to over $19.4B by 2025 

  • Bourbon Spirits Market Outlook
    Narrowing to the spirits segment alone, the market is predicted to expand from $8.29B in 2024 to $8.79B in 2025, and reach $11.12B by 2029—an annual growth rate of about 6%

  • Barrel Supply Dynamics
    Kentucky alone boasts over 14 million barrels aging, which—despite oversupply—reflects significant stock and investor interest (Venture First+12Business Insider.) Barrel inventory is estimated to be valued at over $6 billion in Kentucky alone, showing strong current market valuations.

  • Strong Long-Term Fundamentals
    Despite near-term turbulence, aging bourbon has historically offered appreciation potential. Barrels tied to reputable distilleries, longer aging durations, and rare whiskey styles carry enhanced value
  • Barrel Market Growth
    The global barrel market—including wine, scotch, and whiskey—was valued at around $2.1B in 2024 and is expected to grow at 4.5% annually through 2034
  • Premium & Craft Demand Upsurge
    Demand for premium, craft, aged, and small-batch whiskeys has increased over 30–40% in recent years. International demand—especially in Asia and Europe—is rising, though trade friction remains a risk